Thursday, May 13, 2010

 

China will manage symptoms for next two years; cure left for the next guy


Stratfor [pay wall] continues to be bearish on China:

…there is a deepening anxiety over the fact that China’s 30-year economic boom is reaching a climax and that its imbalances cannot be corrected quickly enough to avert a major dislocation. Foreign markets are drying up, domestic consumption remains too underdeveloped to pick up the slack and the misallocation of resources associated with the state-dominated financial system has generated a hidden mass of bad loans, exacerbated by the recent lending spree.
They assess that Chinese leadership is focused on managing the next two years (leading up to a leadership transition), rather than pursuing any major reforms that would address the structural challenges.

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